Last Updated on 26th December 2020 10:52 AM by AfriWX
We do NOT like giving false hope to South Africans but we merely have to keep you informed on what various climate models are telling us about a #LaNina cycle this year.
Moderate to Strong La Niña possible
According to Jason Nicholls the latest APEC multi-model ensemble data is still looking favorable for a moderate to strong #LaNina this summer.
Model data on La Niña
According to NOAA, Bureau of Meteorology Australia (BOM) and the Climate Society (IRI) models La Niña is likely to continue through the Southern Hemisphere Summer weakening during Autumn 2021.
Latest model data suggests a moderate La Niña during the peak of November to January.
What does it mean for South Africa?
La Niña cycles tend to bring above-normal rainfall over the summer rainfall areas of SA.
Is rain guaranteed?
Nothing is guaranteed and climate models are merely a guideline for our complex climate in South Africa.
Long Term ECMWF model data
We continue to monitor models and analysis from various organisations and meteorological organisations and meteorologists.
Stay safe.
Source: NOAA, IRI, BOM, Jason Nicholls #ENSO